It’s impossible to know the answer to this. It’s not impossible it was lab-borne, just highly unlikely. It’s not a complicated virus, after all, it’s already absurdly simple given its danger. Nature finds a way…
The bigger question is how China was able to contain to just 4,600 deaths (in a country of 1.5B) compared to our 578,000 in ours, waaaaaay before there were vaccines.
My guess (based on well-known and respected elements of Chinese warfare) is they didn’t have to create the virus, the virus was always coming eventually (and we had planned for this forever).
What they did was effectively take advantage of American hubris. We fell on our own sword with respect to COVID-19, just like we did back in Afghanistan during the Soviet age, and Iraq in the 21st century. The Chinese are masters of attrition warfare, way better at slugging it out long term than we are, and they are beating the US in this regard even today. Remember the “Trade War”?? We definitely lost, in the long run. I’ll bet the Party really loves the fact that so many Americans don’t even believe in masks. Stupid is as stupid does, they know this about us.
And that is why they changed the original ending of Rambo III, 13 years later. The US has a very bad habit of invading the wrong places for the wrong reasons. I no longer worry about terrorists now that we are on the cusp of our 200th 9/11, measured in fatality volume alone, before we even get to long term healthcare impact (and we were already a pretty obese, unhealthy country before COVID, something it takes advantage of).