Bruh you think I’m going to pull up stata and run a regression over a fucking forum post? You really are retarded LMAO.
I am far from the first person, much less political scientist, to talk about elites driving public opinion. This is one of those situations where a layman with a single undergrad or high school class on statistics thinks he knows more about something than a trained practitioner.
No actually, I have data. I posted it. What you’re trying to say is I have some data and some circumstantial evidence (court cases, public changes in elite opinion and consensus) because I don’t have 200 million individual notarized affidavits stating that people changed their mind because elites did it first.
My evidence is literally documented reality and opinion polling. What you mean I’m sure is that the evidence doesn’t fit my conclusion but you can’t come to a more reasonable conclusion from the evidence presented that doesn’t require you to ignore it and go with your feeling about the issue.
Certainly polls can have issues, that’s why they try to avoid systematic errors. Any quantitative analysis can be played with to get a desired result e.g. p hacking, but Pew is fairly credible.
Literally all you have to do is go to Google scholar, if you don’t have access to Jstor, and search “elite driven opinion”. I am not even nearly the first political scientist to talk about the topic; I guess I’m just the first to come to Bullshido.
Really all you have done so far is just said you disagreed and hurled insults at me for posting very fundamental and basic ideas from my field.
I assure you I’m not a wannabe lmao I’m a pretty successful psychic terrorist. Just look at my work on here!
Well I was a member of the IC at one time and I was in Iraq during the war. Some people in and outside of the US would think that enough to qualify me as a terrorist.
There’s nothing un-plain about what I have written. I might slip into field specific jargon occasionally out of habit but I haven’t obfuscated anything or argued in bad faith.
No they aren’t, they are data. You can argue that they can have some issues like preference falsification but good polls are designed to try and minimize that through design. And n size isn’t nearly as big an issue as n demographic distribution. It’s asymptotic, once you get past something like n=500 you almost immediately hit diminishing returns on sample population size. If you start to play around with demographic distribution, when you don’t intend to, you start to introduce systematic error.
Correct, I didn’t write a dissertation for a casual conversation on a forum post. And I’m not going to unless you’re willing to cash app me some money for my time. Meanwhile there are published articles available on Google scholar looking at exactly the phenomena I was discussing. Because again I’m not the only political scientist in the world to ever think of the idea of elite driven opinion.
